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International Log & Sawnwood Prices

01-15th August 2007

1. CENTRAL/ WEST AFRICA

Markets quiet due to European holiday period
During the first half of August, no price changes in logs or lumber were recorded. For logs, however, there was a small sign of recovery in purchases from Chinese buyers. Ships are now waiting to be fully loaded and, although this is not a sure sign of revival in market demand, it marks a move toward resumption of normal trading conditions. The new quota restrictions on log exports in Gabon and Congo Brazzaville have assisted greatly in keeping log prices relatively stable over the last few months and the minor improvements in the market due to Chinese buying patterns should help reinforce market stability.

Negotiations on quota volumes for producers are continuing, though it is understood those issued so far are not yet being applied to log exporters. It appears that the total amount of exports had been reduced while still allowing for sufficient volume to keep processing mills fully supplied and a moderate level of logs ready for export.

The European market was very quiet with virtually no buying activity due to the vacation period. At the end of this period, it is likely that industry will be carefully watching the global markets before making new commitments.

2. GHANA 

New benefit sharing scheme for plantation timber
The Cabinet has approved a new benefit sharing scheme on these plantations, under which 40% of the produce obtained from the plantation areas would be allocated to the Forestry Commission (FC), 40% to farmers, 15% to andowners, and 5% to the local community. Since July 2001, Ghana has established about 43,000 hectares under the President¡¯s plantation development initiative. Over 46,000 full-time workers and approximately 1.1 million part-time workers have planted about 170,000 hectares of trees nationwide.

The announcement about the new benefit sharing scheme was made by Mr. Ahmed Bin Salih, Chief Director, on behalf of Prof. Dominic Fobih, former Minister of Lands, Forestry and Mines at the opening of the Seventh Quadrennial Delegates Conference of the Timber and Woodworkers Union (TWU) in Cape Coast. He noted that the Cabinet was also considering a reviewed benefitsharing scheme for parties engaged in commercial plantation development in degraded forest reserves to ensure equity returns to investors as a means of facilitating speedy development of commercial plantations in the country. He also noted that the programme had made available fertile and productive agricultural lands within degraded forest reserves for farmers to boost food production and ensure food security.

Mr. Ahmed further noted that community participation in forest resource management and protection was also being enhanced through various alternative livelihood schemes instituted through projects that benefited over 1,000 people within forest fringe communities, noting that more than US$2.3 million had been disbursed to individuals in beneficiary communities for this purpose. He said the depletion of forest resources could not be reversed without the active participation of important stakeholders such as landowners, communities and other organizations within the timber trade.

Lessons learned by Ghana from benefit sharing schemes were in part due to previous experiences with afforestation projects. Mr. Joshua Ansah, General Secretary of TWU explained that 75 of the 240 hectares of land from chiefs and elders of Techiman at Kokoago set aside for an afforestation project ten years ago had been cultivated with various tree species. He said the project was implemented in partnership with the local community and the members enjoyed livelihood support activities such as beekeeping, mushrooms, fish, snail farming, and seasonal employment on the plantation. Ansah noted that the project was recently designated by the Building and Woodworkers International as the most sustainably managed project in the African union and recommended its model be replicated in Mali, Burkina Faso, Kenya and Uganda.

3. MALAYSIA 

Global mortgage crunch hits Malaysian prices
In a continuing trend from late July, most Malaysian timber prices (TTM 12:14) further weakened, with the exception of logs. With the subprime mortgage market in steep decline and the tightening of mortgage loans in the US, prices of furniture and furniture parts retreated, albeit marginally. Prices of sawn timber were mixed even with steady demands from China and the Middle East. However, India was a hard sell as commodity prices, including timber, declined broadly there over the last few weeks. Prices of plywood and panel products might be adversely affected in the near future should Japanese financial markets be impacted further by global credit related issues, adding to current problems with excess supply. Additionally, Malaysian financial institutions had been gradually tightening their credit, leaving timber exporters in need of working capital for their sawn timber operations in a lurch.

Timber retains an important role in Sarawak¡¯s development
The Daily Express reported that the timber industry of Sarawak contributed about RM9 million in export revenue in 2006, an increase of 24.4 from 2005, which contributed to the socio-economic development of Sarawak. The Sarawak Timber Industry Development Corp. General Manager, Datu Len Talif Salleh, said wood products like plywood, medium density fibreboard, particleboard, blockboard and laminated boards constituted the bulk of the exports, making up RM5.67 billion or 63% of total exports. He attributed the rise in exports to innovative marketing strategy of the industry and its ability to meet buyer specifications.

Malaysia steps up replanting of logged forests
Deputy Director General of the Planning and Development of Forests of the Forestry Department, Peninsular Malaysia, Datuk Dahlan Taha said the Department would replant about 25,000 hectares each year in areas logged nationwide for timber. In total, the Malaysian government plans to replant 300,000 hectares of forests cleared for timber over the next ten years, said The Star Online. A total of 36,000 hectares had already been identified for logging under the Ninth Malaysia Plan. The size of forests allowed for logging activity had been reduced drastically over the years and a nationwide replanting programme had been progressively implemented over the years.

4. INDONESIA  

Slash and burn activities undermine Indonesian prices
Prices of Indonesian timber products remained adrift as the slash and burn activities intensified, flooding the local market with cheap timber. As mentioned in previous TTM reports (see TTM 11:14), this has made it difficult to differentiate between legal and illegally harvested timber in the market. A widespread drought has also contributed to the problem as it provided easier access to forests and forest plantations.

Japan and Indonesia to sign bilateral FTA
As reported by Kyodo news agency, Japan and Indonesia will sign a bilateral free trade agreement (FTA) on 20 August 2007, during Prime Minister Shinzo Abe¡¯s visit to Jakarta. The agreement is expected to come into effect early next year. Under the FTA, about 96% of Japanese exports to Indonesia will become tariff-free, while about 93% of Indonesian exports to Japan in value terms will be exempt from duties. In addition, Japan will immediately remove tariffs on Indonesian forest products.

Papua seeks payment for forest conservation
The Wall Street Journal Online covered developments in Papua, Indonesia, where a proposal has been floated to engage Papua in the world¡¯s emerging carbon market. The governor of Papua proposed that companies could pay to conserve portions of land, and investors would then be issued carbon credits to be traded in the European or other international carbon markets. The conservation projects under this scheme could be a part of the World Bank¡¯s larger work on ¡®avoided deforestation¡¯, and would attract investors wanting to enter into unregulated voluntary markets for carbon trading.

Indonesia on verge of being top palm oil producer
Mongabay.com and Planet Ark report that Indonesia is set to take over from Malaysia as the world¡¯s top palm oil producer this year, due to rapid expansion of palm oil plantations over the last five years. Indonesia expects palm oil output to grow sharply over the next two years but stricter forest protection may slow expansion somewhat. Palm oil producers have asked federal government authorities in Jakarta to clearly define forest areas that need conserving.

Environmental groups have expressed concerns that rapidly expanding palm oil plantations, partly due to ambitious biofuel plans, will damage rainforests and drive out rare wildlife species. Indonesia, which currently has six million hectares of palm oil plantations, may however restrict expansion despite record high crude palm oil prices. Nevertheless, the expanding palm oil industry will increasingly provide the much needed raw material for the manufacture of panel products, e.g. MDF for both exports and the local furniture industry, in the form of palm fibers.

5. MYANMAR

MTE prices fixed at high level
On 25 July, the Myanmar Timber Enterprise (MTE) fixed the latest raw material prices for the local wood industry. The comparative prices shown in the chart below are the result of an 8-28% increase on the 2007 March list prices. The prices are valid for logs used in local processing only, and reveal the large gap between fixed prices and the monthly average price. This large disparity could once again influence MTE to short-supply the local industry and sell more in log form at six months¡¯ average prices.

6. BRAZIL 

Brazil sets to launch Annual Forest Grant Plan
The Brazilian Forest Service (SFB) is about to launch the final version of the first Annual Forest Grant Plan (PAOF), which will make available about one million hectares of public natural forests for harvesting using a bidding process for the concession. Folha da Mata said that the Plan, which was open for public consultation, defines the area designated as public forests under concession and outlines the procedure to obtain such a grant. Indigenous land, conservation units under full protection, military areas, extractive reserves, settlements, and sustainable development reserves are excluded from this grant.

The Plan aims to: clarify managed forest designated as public land (federal, state and municipal domains); create the Brazilian Forest Service as a regulatory agency of public forest management and facilitating agency of sustainable forest activities in Brazil; and create the National Fund for Forest Development, which would focus on technological development, technical assistance and sustainable forest development. The preliminary plan was discussed in late July during a meeting attended by representatives of the productive sector, the National Forum of the Forest-Based Activities and the Environment Council of the Federation of Industries (FIEPA) in the state of Par¨¢. In August and September, criteria will be discussed and determined for the selection of companies that qualify for the grant¡¯s bidding process.

Illegal logs fuel energy for Amazon steel industry
Madiera Total reported the results of a study conducted by the Council of High Amazonian Studies of the University of Para, which showed that non-authorized deforestation supplied 57.5% of fuelwood for charcoal production of the pig-iron and steel companies located in the states of Par¨¢ and Maranhao. The research tracks charcoal production since the late 1980s, when the first companies were built in the region. Easy access to the cheap and abundant wood biomass and high quality iron ore also influenced high consumption levels.

Initially, tax incentives and later the Constitutional Fund for the North Region (FNO), which provided public financing, were introduced to attract companies to Amazonia. The pig-iron companies took advantage of the logistics from the Caraj¨¢s Project and lower costs compared to production in Brazil¡¯s Southeast region. According to the research, 80% of the pig-iron produced in the region was exported to North America.

The production of 3.5 million tons of charcoal, consumed by the Brazilian steel industry would require 22.2 million m3 of fuelwood. This was higher than the volume authorized to be extracted in the states of Par¨¢ and Maranhao (9.4 million m? as set by the Brazilian Institute of Environment and Renewable Natural Resources (IBAMA). Besides severe fines already charged, IBAMA sued four steel companies with criminal actions in July, charging BRL 832 million in indemnities. In accordance with the Forest Code, a company that produces charcoal is mandated to have its own forest to guarantee sustainable log harvesting. To guarantee payment of the fine, IBAMA has requested the blockade of the steel companies¡¯ assets and asked the Federal Public Ministry and the Government of Par¨¢ to take action.

Small sawmills on the brink of bankruptcy
According to the Gazeta do Povo, sawmills and other solidwood companies in the state of Paran¨¢ have faced serious difficulties to remain in the market. In the last three years, revenues have been affected by the falling US dollar and plywood prices in the international market. As many companies do not own forests, they face increasing log prices. Estimates show that pine log prices have increased over 300% since 2000. Small and medium-sized companies that do not have a solid and planned forest base have serious difficulties buying logs and many are shutting down, according to the Department of Forest Plantations of the Secretariat of Agricultural and Supply (SEAB). The Paran¨¢ Association of Forest Based Companies (APRE), which represented about 300 companies and 170,000 workers, pointed out that in the last three years, 30,000 jobs were lost.

Since the sector was for a long time oriented toward the international market, the sector now faces a problem of decreasing exports. According to the Ministry of Development, the revenue of Paran¨¢ forest companies was USD 496 million in the first quarter of 2007. Losses are even bigger in Brazilian reals since the US dollar fell more than 30% during the period. Retraction from the international market caused the wood shortage to become less serious. If the US dollar had  remained at BRL 3.00/USD (currently it is slightly below 2.00/USD) and the price of plywood had not fallen, APRE estimates indicated little pine plantation would be left.

Par¨¢¡¯s solidwood exports reach USD 447 million
From January to July 2007, sawmills in the state of Par¨¢ exported a total of USD446.8 million, in comparison to 2006, when total exports were USD647 million. The rise in the total value of exports occurred with only 28 forest management projects authorized by the Secretariat of Science, Technology and the Environment (SECTAM) said Fornecedores do Par? However, the exported products were composed of accumulated stocks from the summer of 2006.

The sawmilling industry has a seasonal activity, and harvesting is carried out during the summer, when storage is undertaken for the rainy winter season. The stocks from 2006 are about to be fully depleted and the result of delayed approval of management plans will be felt at the end of the year or in early 2008 (see also TTM 12:14). In addition to the delay in the authorization of management plans, the decline of the US dollar was another obstacle to the export-oriented tropical lumber sector. Such depreciation also stimulates competition with imported products resulting in workforce lay offs. According to the Association of Wood Exporting Industries of the State of Par¨¢ (AIMEX), compensations are necessary for those who lose on exports, including through tax reduction.

7. PERU

Study shows effectiveness of Peruvian policies on forest protection
Scientists at the Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution, found that the Peruvian government¡¯s policies to stop forest degradation and destruction resulted in only 1 to 2% loss of natural protected areas between 1999 and 2005. The findings, which were published in the 7 August 2007 edition of the Science Express, showed that the government¡¯s programme outlining the justification for legal logging, protecting forests and establishing territories for indigenous people helped keep natural forests relatively intact, reported PhysOrg.com.

The study expressed concern over the rate of deforestation in the areas adjacent to logging concessions and that the rate of forest disturbance was increasing in the last few years of the study. PhysOrg.com noted that about 86% of the damaged forested areas were in the Madre de Dios region and around Pucallpa, mostly near roads. The report indicated that the protected forested areas were four times better protected than areas not set aside for conservation.

The methods for the study included the use of Carnegie Landsat Analysis System (CLAS), a high special resolution satellite data system that detects forest damage, to analyze over 79% of Peru¡¯s forested area. The scientists took into account timed policy events, such as the 2001 policy toplace 31% of Peru¡¯s managed forests under ¡®permanent resource production¡¯. The methods developed for this study were previously tested in Brazil and are now being applied over Borneo. The Carnegie Institution issued a statement highlighting the success of the CLAS system and hoped it would be the standard for future analyses of rain forest disturbances and deforestation.

Peru and Mexico extend Economic Complementation Agreement
The governments of Peru and Mexico agreed to extend the validity of the Economic Complementation Agreement (ECA), which was due to expire on 30 December 2007. The decision to extend the ECA until 30 June 2008 was made in a meeting between the Peruvian Vice Minister of Foreign Trade, Luis Alonso Garcia and the Mexican Sub-Secretary of International Commercial Negotiations, Beatriz Leycegui. The agreement is significant to Peru-Mexico exports, since they are increasing annually, with Peruvian wood products exports representing 26% of the total exports for 2006, or US$5.7 million.

Peruvian exports find niche in EU market
During the first quarter of 2007, Peruvian exports to the EU increased by 17.4% compared to the same period in 2006. The Management Office of Market Intelligence of the Peruvian Committee of Promotion for Exports and Tourism (PROMPERU) reported that total exports reached $2.17 million. Germany was the most important destination in the EU and 7th of all markets, followed by Italy, Spain, and the Netherlands in the 9th, 10th, 11th positions, respectively. PROMPERU is gathering more information about the EU market¡¯s characteristics, trends and opportunities, and requirements for market access, in light of the EU¡¯s strategic importance for Peruvian exports.

8. MEXICO

Coca-Cola in tripartite reforestation agreement in Mexico
The Twenty-five thousand hectares of ecosystems of high value will be reforested as part of an agreement between the National Forest Agency (CONAFOR), the Coca-Cola Company, and Pronatura. The area, which provides water to Mexico¡¯s main cities, would be reforested over the next five years, and Coca Cola will provide six million dollars worth of funds to implement the programme. As part of the initiative, an action plan would be made by Pronatura Mexico with the support of CONAFOR, through its ProTree programme.

The President of Coca-Cola noted forests¡¯ contribution to a healthy water supply, and CONAFOR¡¯s Director, Jose Cibrian, noted the positive impact the initiative would have on the country¡¯s forests and water resources. Under the initiative, CONAFOR will support Pronatura to identify the sites where reforestation activities will be undertaken, provide assistance for the definition of the actions for the restoration of ecosystems and provide institutional support. CONAFOR will also purchase 30 million trees for use in the reforestation initiative.

9. BOLIVIA

Bolivia¡¯s wood exports post strong and sustained growth
For the fifth year in a row, Bolivia¡¯s wood exports have shown growth in terms of volume and value. Bolivian wood exports reached US$55 million during the first quarter, 24% above the same period in 2006. The US continues to be the main market destination of products in terms of value, representing 35% of the total, compared to 44% last year. The UK has jumped from importing 1% to 9% of Bolivian wood products, and the Netherlands from 4% to 7%. China is Bolivia¡¯s second highest wood importer in terms of volume (13.5%), just behind the US (19.2%).

10. GUYANA

Guyana gains more assistance for community forests
The government¡¯s programme to empower Amerindian communities through sustainable utilization and development of forest resources is gaining further support from the international community.Under the Sustainable Forestry Management and Hinterland Community Development Project, two communities, Kwebanna and Batavia, will benefit from activities that seek to improve forestry regulation and enforcement, and build capacity for sustainable management of the communities¡¯ forest resources. The activities include the development of forest management plans and annual operational plans and the provision of training and capacity building on key forested areas. Assessment of the communities¡¯ forest resources will also be carried out.

The project, which targets Guyana and neighboring Suriname, will be undertaken through the World Wildlife Fund (WWF), with a grant from the British Government. The agreement for the project was signed by British High Commissioner to Guyana, Fraser Wheeler and Director of WWF, Dominiek Plouvier, in the presence of the Minister of Agriculture Robert Persaud. Minister Persaud noted that both Batavia and Kwebanna have tremendous potential for further community development and utilization of their forest resources. The British High Commissioner said that the current programme supports the work done over the years by the British Government to help develop Guyana¡¯s forestry sector, and emphasized the contribution of the programme towards mitigating the effects of climate change and preserving biodiversity.

Guyana puts focus on LUS and LVS
TTJ reported on ongoing work of the Guyana Forestry Commission and the Forest Products Marketing Council ofGuyana to expand the country¡¯s inventory of timber species and ensure its legality. These projects, funded in part by ITTO, involve testing the utility of lesser-used species (LUS) by TRADA Technology and the development of a Legal Verification System (LVS) by the UK¡¯s ProForest. Both projects will help UK consumers of tropical hardwood timbers (used in marine construction) to ensure the resilience and legality of their product. The report noted that preliminary outcomes on the project activities would be available in late autumn.

Abbreviations

LM       Loyale Merchant, a grade of log parcel  Cu.m         Cubic Metre
QS        Qualite Superieure    Koku         0.278 Cu.m or 120BF
CI          Choix Industriel                                                       FFR           French Franc
CE         Choix Economique                                                        SQ              Sawmill Quality
CS         Choix Supplimentaire      SSQ            Select Sawmill Quality
FOB      Free-on-Board     FAS            Sawnwood Grade First and
KD        Kiln Dry                               Second 
AD        Air Dry        WBP           Water and Boil Proof
Boule    A Log Sawn Through and Through MR              Moisture Resistant
              the boards from one log are bundled                      pc         per piece      
              together                      ea                each      
BB/CC  Grade B faced and Grade C backed MBF           1000 Board Feet          
              Plywood   MDF           Medium Density Fibreboard
BF        Board Foot F.CFA         CFA Franc        
Sq.Ft     Square Foot              Price has moved up or down
Source:ITTO'  Tropical Timber Market Report

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