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Japan Wood Products Prices

16-31th August  2005


US Dollar Exchange Rates of  19th August 2005

Japan Yen 110.40


Report  form  Japan

Projection of Japanese housing starts

The Research Institute of Construction and Economy (RICE) disclosed its projection of new housing starts (see table). RICE forecast that the declining trend in housing starts, observed since the 1990s, will continue throughout 2020. The number of vacant units will surge as a result of this trend. House vacancies are forecast to be about 6.8m units in 2010 and to exceed 7.2m units in 2020. 

Housing starts and projections

Years

Units (annual average)

Change (%)

1956-1960

360,832

 

 

 

1961-1965

695,206

 

93

 

1966-1970

1,207,089

 

74

 

1971-1975

1,568,098

 

30

 

1976-1980

1,452,276

 

-7

 

1981-1985

1,178,568

 

-19

 

1986-1990

1,625,827

 

38

 

1991-1995

1,463,558

 

-10

 

1996-2000

1,318,125

 

-10

 

2001-2005*

1,172,885

 

-11

 

2006-2010*

1,088,353

 

-7

 

2011-2015*

976,345

 

-10

 

2016-2020*

808,026

 

-17

 

*Projection 

Plywood manufacturers resist higher log prices

Price negotiations between log importers and plywood manufacturers initially reached a deadlock. The cost of logs in Japan has been up as a result of higher FOB prices, firm ocean freight rates and unstable exchange rate which forced importers to raise prices. The cost of July arrivals was about 6,800-7,000 yen per koku CIF (koku=0.278 m3) on meranti regular (around 24,000-25,000 yen per m3) but plywood manufacturers resisted those prices. Plywood manufacturers argued that depressed plywood prices prohibit them paying higher log prices. After tough negotiations, prices were settled at about 6,400‑6,500 yen per m3. Small meranti prices were, in turn, at about 5,700‑5,900 yen per m3

Log production in Sarawak and PNG is slow due to foul weather. Log suppliers are bullish but even Chinese buyers are beginning to ask for price reductions. Current FOB prices for Sarawak meranti regular are firm at US$171‑173 per m3 while small meranti was trading at US$139‑141 per m3. Prices for Kapur floater and keruing were US$191-195 and US$220 per m3, respectively. Sabah seraya’s quality large‑logs were priced at US$155‑160 per m3. PNG’s mersawa logs were traded at about US$163‑165 per m3, down from the importers’ proposal of US$170 per m3. Prices for taun logs were down by US$10 and were being traded at US$140 per m3

Prices for 2x6’ panels remain very active

The movement of imported tropical plywood is active for the tight‑supplied 2x6’ concrete forming for coating, which prices are at a minimum of 690‑700 yen per sheet delivered in Tokyo market.

The prices for 3x6’ size are not as active as those of 2x6’ but are firming at about 980 yen. In contrast, prices for 3x6’ concrete forming panel are softening at about 820 yen per sheet because of decreasing demand for construction and engineering works while orders from DIY stores are dropping as they reduce inventories before closing their books for mid‑term settlement. 

July and August Wholesale Prices

 

 

July

August

Indonesian Plywood

Size (mm)

(¥/sheet)

2.3mm  (thin plywood, F 4star, type 2 )

920 X 1830

290

 

290

 

3.7mm  (med. thickness,  F 4star, type1)

910 X 1820

430

 

430

 

5.2mm  (med. thickness, F 4star, type 1)

910 X 1820

540

 

540

 

12mm for sheathing (F 3star, type 2)

910 X 1820

820

 

800

12mm for foundation (F 4star, special)

910 X 1820

870

 

850

12mm concrete-form ply (JAS)

900 X 1800

830

 

820

11.5mm flooring board

945 X 1840

1100

 

1100

 

3.6mm baseboard for overlays (OVL)

1230 X 2440

780

 

780

 

5.2mm  for packing

1230 X 2440

830

 

830

 

8.5mm for packing

1230 X 2440

1080

 

1080

 

Malaysian Plywood

 

 

 

 

 

2.3mm (thin plywood, F 4star, type 2)

920 X 1830

290

 

290

 

3.6mm (med. thickness, F 4star, type1)

910 X 1820

430

 

430

 

5.2mm (med. thickness, F 4star, type 1)

910 X 1820

540

 

540

 

12mm  for sheathing (F 3star, type 2)

910 X 1820

820

 

800

12mm for foundation (F 4 star, special)

910 X 1820

870

 

850

11.5mm concrete-form ply (JAS)

900 X 1800

830

 

820

11.5mm flooring board

945 X 1840

1100

 

1100

 

3.6mm baseboard for overlays (OVL)

1230 X 2440

780

 

780

 

Softwood Plywood (Canadian CSP)

 

 

 

 

 

9.5mm foundation of wall (JAS)

1220 X 2440

1500

 

1500

 

12.5mm sheathing (T&G JAS)

606 X 2273

1050

 

1050

 

15.5mm foundation (T&G JAS)

1220 X 2440

2500

 

2500

 

18.5mm foundation (T&G JAS)

1220 X 2440

2850

 

2850

 

Particleboard (Indonesian)

 

 

 

 

 

12mm for woodworking

910 X 1820

n/a

 

n/a

 

15mm for woodworking

910 X 1820

n/a

 

n/a

 

OSB (North American)

 

 

 

 

 

12mm foundation of roof (JAS)

910 X 1820

980

 

980

 

9.5mm foundation for 2 by 4 (JAS)

910 X 2440

1020

È

1020

 

9.5mm conventional foundation (JAS)

910 X 2730

1280

È

1280

 

9.5mm conventional foundation (JAS)

910 X 3030

1370

È

1370

 

 

Logs for Ply Manufacture, CIF

Meranti (Hill, Sarawak)

     Medium Mixed

     STD Mixed

     Small Log (SM60%, SSM40%)

Taun, Calophyllum

  and others (PNG)

Mixed Light Hardwood,

  G3-G5 grade (PNG)

 

Okoumé (Gabon)

Keruing MQ & up (Sarawak)

Kapur MQ & up (Sarawak)

Yen per Koku

 

6,450

6,550

5,400

 

5,200

 

4,500

 

7,000

7,700

7,100

Koku=0.278 m3

Logs for Sawmilling, CIF

Melapi (Sarawak) High Select

Agathis (Sarawak) High Select

Yen per Koku

8,800

8,600

 

Lumber, FOB

White Seraya (Sabah)

     24x150mm, 4m 1st grade

Mixed Seraya, Sangi

     24x48mm, 1.8-4m, S2S

Yen per Koku

 

105,000

 

43,500

Koku=0.278 m3 

More information on the Japanese market please see www.n-mokuzai.com



Abbreviations

LM        Loyale Merchant, a grade of log parcel  Cu.m         Cubic Metre
QS         Qualite Superieure    Koku         0.278 Cu.m or 120BF
CI          Choix Industriel                                                       FFR            French Franc
CE         Choix Economique                                                        SQ              Sawmill Quality
CS         Choix Supplimentaire      SSQ            Select Sawmill Quality
FOB      Free-on-Board     FAS            Sawnwood Grade First and
KD        Kiln Dry                               Second 
AD        Air Dry        WBP           Water and Boil Proof
Boule    A Log Sawn Through and Through MR              Moisture Resistant
              the boards from one log are bundled                      pc         per piece      
              together                      ea                each      
BB/CC  Grade B faced and Grade C backed MBF           1000 Board Feet          
              Plywood   MDF           Medium Density Fibreboard
BF         Board Foot F.CFA         CFA Franc        
Sq.Ft     Square Foot               Price has moved up or down


Source: ITTO'  Tropical Timber Market Report


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