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Japan Wood
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Dollar Exchange Rates of 25th March 2005 Japan
Yen 106.36 Exporters
bullish The
divergence in prices exporters are asking and the actual market prices in
Japan is widening. In Indonesia, the shippers are asking for higher export
prices because of rising adhesive and transportation cost brought by
higher oil cost and this is on top of the problems of tight log supply.
Export
prices for tropical 2.3 mm thick F 4star (second category) are now around
US$545-550 per cubic metre C&F. The market prices in Japan for this
product are about Yen 290-300 per sheet delivered with dull movement and
this equates to a price below the C&F price. The
wholesale price in Japan of concrete formboard for coating (3x6) is around
Yen 960-970 per sheet, some Yen 10-20 lower than a month ago. Firming
export prices for OSB Japanese
analysts say that export prices for OSB are likely to go higher because of
strong North American market and rising ocean freight. Some suppliers say
there is widening gap between the export prices and North American
domestic market prices so they need to raise the export prices. The
export prices for OSB for April shipment (9.5 mm 3x6) is US$310 per 1,000
sqft C&F, which is flat from March. Japanese demand continues slow but
the market prices have remained unchanged from February. There
is reportedly strong competition amongst softwood plywood dealers to
reduce inventories and this is leading to some drastic price cuts in a
very stagnant market. 12 mm domestic softwood ply is apparently the worst
affected and prices in the Tokyo region are as low as Yen 780 per sheet
delivered. Because
of this plywood mills in the Seihoku group cut plywood production by 20%
beginning April. The cut will
continue until prices for softwood structural panels stop falling.
Specifically 12 mm standard plywood production will be reduced by 25-30%.
Current prices for 12 mm F 4star (category 1) are Yen 780-800 per sheet
and Seihoku's target is to raise this to Yen 820. A
supply glut and weak demand are the main reasons for falling prices says
the Japan Lumber Report. Softwood panel inventories at the end of January
reportedly were nearly double that of a year ago. Dealers'
comments are that it is possible to bring the prices up if the supply is
reduced since the demand should improve after April. Imported
tropical hardwood plywood prices just about holding flat while exporters
are pushing for higher
prices. So far this year, arrivals of tropical plywood have been steady
while the market in Japan is suffering from a lack of direction. Wholesale
prices of Indonesian JAS 3x6 concrete formboard panels are Yen 840-860 per
sheet, about 10 yen lower than a month ago. Tropical structural 12 mm
panel F 4star (prime category) prices are unchanged at Yen 860-880. The
supply had been tight until February but now there is reportedly ample
supply while, at the same time, inquiries are slowing say analysts. The
only item in tight supply is 2x6 concrete formboard panel for coating
where prices are now about Yen 680 and firming. January
plywood supply The
total supply of plywood into the Japanese market in January was 702,000
cubic metres, 5.9% more than December 2004 and it was the highest since
August last year. The domestic supply of standard plywood in January was
8.7% lower than December due to snow and cold weather in Japan while
imports of plywood increased
to 453,000 cubic metres, 16% more than December 2004. Logs
For Plywood Manufacturing
CIF
Price
Yen per Koku Meranti
(Hill, Sarawak) Medium
Mixed
5,850 Meranti
(Hill, Sarawak) STD
Mixed
6,000 Meranti
(Hill, Sarawak) Small
Lot (SM60%,
SSM40%)
4,750 Taun,
Calophyllum (PNG) and
others
4,700 Mixed
Light Hardwood (PNG
G3-G5 grade)
4,200 Keruing
(Sarawak) Medium
MQ & up
7,100 Kapur
(Sarawak) Medium MQ
& up
6,650 Logs
For Sawmilling FOB
Price
Yen per Koku Melapi
(Sarawak) Select
8,800 Agathis
(Sarawak) Select
8,600 Lumber
FOB Price Yen
per Cu.m White
Seraya (Sabah) 24x150mm,
4m 1st
grade
105,000 Mixed
Seraya 24x48mm, 1.8-4m,
S2S
42,000 For
more information on the Japanese market please see
www.n-mokuzai.com
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